{"id":69038,"date":"2024-09-06T11:09:39","date_gmt":"2024-09-06T09:09:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/viettudomunich.org\/?p=69038"},"modified":"2024-09-06T11:09:39","modified_gmt":"2024-09-06T09:09:39","slug":"cu-soc-trung-quoc-dang-huy-hoai-nganh-cong-nghiep-chu-yeu-chau-au","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/viet-europe.org\/?p=69038","title":{"rendered":"\u201cC\u00fa s\u1ed1c Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111ang h\u1ee7y ho\u1ea1i ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu ch\u00e2u \u00c2u\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"

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\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong>Gustav Theile<\/strong><\/a>,\u00a0<\/strong>Patrick Welter<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

\u00a004.09.2024<\/p>\n

\u00a0FAZ<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

VNC <\/strong>chuy\u1ec3n ng\u1eef<\/p>\n

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Hai m\u01b0\u01a1i n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc, c\u00fa s\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u1eadp \u0111\u1ebfn Hoa K\u1ef3. Gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y, c\u00fa th\u1ee9 hai \u0111e d\u1ecda c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p x\u01b0\u01a1ng s\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0110\u1ee9c, nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf Sander Tordoir c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o.<\/strong><\/p>\n

FAZ: \u00d4ng Tordoir, \u00f4ng \u0111ang n\u00f3i v\u1ec1 c\u00fa s\u1ed1c th\u1ee9 hai Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111e d\u1ecda n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0110\u1ee9c. \u0110\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 m\u1ea5t \u0111i nhi\u1ec1u ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn lu\u00f4n th\u00edch nghi. T\u1ea1i sao l\u1ea7n n\u00e0y l\u1ea1i kh\u00e1c?<\/strong><\/p>\n

C\u00f3 ba l\u00fd do ch\u00ednh. \u0110\u1ea7u ti\u00ean, s\u1ef1 kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t trong c\u00e1c ng\u00e0nh l\u00e0 r\u1ea5t quan tr\u1ecdng. C\u00fa s\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m \u0111\u1ea7u bao g\u1ed3m d\u1ec7t may, \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng v\u00e0 c\u00e1c h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t h\u00e0ng lo\u1ea1t gi\u00e1 r\u1ebb kh\u00e1c. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u00edt h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u, m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 Ph\u00e1p v\u00e0 Anh m\u1ea5t vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m trong c\u00e1c ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p n\u00e0y. Tuy nhi\u00ean, trung t\u00e2m c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u1edf H\u00e0 Lan v\u00e0 \u0110\u1ee9c \u00edt b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng h\u01a1n do ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p \u1edf \u0111\u00e2y s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t c\u00e1c s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng cao h\u01a1n. C\u00fa s\u1ed1c th\u1ee9 hai Trung Qu\u1ed1c hi\u1ec7n n\u1eb1m \u1edf nh\u1eefng l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c m\u00e0 \u0110\u1ee9c \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t gi\u1ecfi: xe h\u01a1i, m\u00e1y m\u00f3c v\u00e0 h\u00f3a ch\u1ea5t. Xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u xe h\u01a1i c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng g\u1ea5p s\u00e1u l\u1ea7n k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2020 v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 v\u1eabn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c.<\/span><\/p>\n

FAZ: Nh\u1eefng l\u00fd do kh\u00e1c l\u00e0 g\u00ec?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Th\u1ee9 hai l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a c\u00fa s\u1ed1c. So v\u1edbi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u1edbn h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u: c\u00fa s\u1ed1c th\u1ee9 hai Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u1edbn g\u1ea5p kho\u1ea3ng hai l\u1ea7n c\u00fa s\u1ed1c th\u1ee9 nh\u1ea5t. Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111ang c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng che \u0111\u1eady \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch thao t\u00fang c\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i. Qu\u1ef9 Ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf n\u00ean can thi\u1ec7p nh\u01b0ng t\u1edbi gi\u1edd h\u1ecd v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a l\u00e0m \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3. B\u1edfi v\u00ec ch\u00e2u \u00c2u c\u1edfi m\u1edf h\u01a1n trong th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c so v\u1edbi M\u1ef9 n\u00ean h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 khi\u1ebfn ch\u00fang ta ph\u1ea3i g\u00e1nh ch\u1ecbu n\u1eb7ng n\u1ec1 h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u. L\u00fd do th\u1ee9 ba l\u00e0 l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi EU th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u00f2n quan tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi M\u1ef9. Khu v\u1ef1c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t chi\u1ebfm 19% t\u1ed5ng s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m qu\u1ed1c n\u1ed9i c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ee9c, \u1edf EU n\u00f3i chung l\u00e0 kho\u1ea3ng 15%; \u1edf M\u1ef9 ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 13 ho\u1eb7c 14% tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00fa s\u1ed1c Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2000.<\/span><\/p>\n

FAZ:<\/strong>\u00a0Xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u cao l\u00e0 do nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc Trung Qu\u1ed1c tr\u1ee3 c\u1ea5p h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a. Ch\u00fang ta kh\u00f4ng n\u00ean vui m\u1eebng v\u1ec1 m\u00f3n qu\u00e0 t\u1eeb ng\u01b0\u1eddi n\u1ed9p thu\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c sao?<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0110\u00f3 l\u00e0 l\u1eddi d\u1ea1y th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0ng l\u1ea1i qu\u00e1 thi\u1ec3n c\u1eadn. Trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n, c\u00e1c s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m gi\u00e1 r\u1ebb c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c, nh\u01b0 xe \u0111i\u1ec7n, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ed1t cho ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng v\u00e0 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i xanh. Nh\u01b0ng t\u1ed1n k\u00e9m d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n l\u1edbn h\u01a1n nh\u1eefng l\u1ee3i \u00edch n\u00e0y. C\u00fa s\u1ed1c Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111ang h\u1ee7y ho\u1ea1i ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf v\u1ec1 chi ph\u00ed c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t \u0111\u1ecba \u0111i\u1ec3m. Do c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n tr\u1ee3 c\u1ea5p c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c d\u00e0nh cho ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p v\u00e0 c\u1ea3 v\u00ec nhu c\u1ea7u n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba y\u1ebfu, c\u00f4ng su\u1ea5t d\u01b0 th\u1eeba \u0111ang xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u00f9 \u0111\u1eafp b\u1eb1ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Sander Tordoir\u00a0Anthony Upton<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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\u00a0<\/span>FAZ:<\/strong>\u00a0<\/span>H\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ch\u00e2u \u00c2u l\u00e0 g\u00ec?<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0N\u0103ng su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang ta s\u1ebd b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00ec ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p b\u1ecb chuy\u1ec3n \u0111i c\u00f3 n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t cao h\u01a1n ng\u00e0nh d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f2n c\u00f3 h\u1ea1i cho ch\u00e2u \u00c2u h\u01a1n n\u1eefa, b\u1edfi v\u00ec, kh\u00f4ng gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c, ch\u00fang ta c\u00f3 l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i nh\u1ecf nh\u01b0ng mang nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn h\u01a1n c\u1ea3 ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p. V\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng t\u1ed1t cho \u0111\u1ed5i m\u1edbi: c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 qu\u00e1 nhi\u1ec1u c\u1ea1nh tranh s\u1ebd k\u00e9m \u0111\u1ed5i m\u1edbi h\u01a1n v\u00ec c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty kh\u00f4ng ki\u1ebfm \u0111\u1ee7 ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty s\u00e1ng t\u1ea1o kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n. Trong c\u00fa s\u1ed1c Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean, s\u1ed1 \u0111\u01a1n xin c\u1ea5p b\u1eb1ng s\u00e1ng ch\u1ebf c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 trong c\u00e1c ng\u00e0nh b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 v\u00e0 h\u00e0ng nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tr\u1ee3 c\u1ea5p t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00e0 nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n g\u00e2y ra 2\/5 m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m n\u00e0y. S\u1ed1 ph\u1eadn t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 s\u1ebd \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t t\u00e0n kh\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p xanh c\u1ee7a ch\u00e2u \u00c2u.<\/p>\n

FAZ: Ch\u00fang ta \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 h\u1ebft l\u1ea7n n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ebfn l\u1ea7n kh\u00e1c. \u0110\u1ea7u ti\u00ean ng\u01b0\u1eddi Nh\u1eadt tham gia th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng xe h\u01a1i, sau \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c. C\u1ea3 hai l\u1ea7n, ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p \u00f4 t\u00f4 c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ee9c kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i m\u00e0 th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u00f2n ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd h\u01a1n. T\u1ea1i sao l\u1ea7n n\u00e0y l\u1ea1i kh\u00e1c \u0111i?<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0B\u1edfi v\u00ec c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t quan tr\u1ecdng. C\u00fa s\u1ed1c th\u1ee9 hai Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 quy m\u00f4 l\u1edbn h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u v\u00e0 \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra nhanh h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u. \u0110\u1ee9c kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ee7 th\u1eddi gian \u0111\u1ec3 th\u00edch nghi. V\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c ng\u00e0y nay, Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1980 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00e1p l\u1ea1i nh\u1eefng lo ng\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t h\u1ea1n ng\u1ea1ch xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u*<\/strong>\u00a0v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 l\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n.<\/p>\n

FAZ:\u00a0V\u00ec v\u1eady, EU c\u00f3 n\u00ean \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n n\u00e2ng cao “c\u00e1c b\u1ee9c t\u01b0\u1eddng”?<\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0Kh\u00f4ng, t\u00f4i kh\u00f4ng ngh\u0129 c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u1ee7a Joe Biden \u0111\u1ee7 c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng. \u00d4ng ta \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda n\u01b0\u1edbc M\u1ef9 qu\u00e1 nhi\u1ec1u. C\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng c\u1ea7n c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 c\u1ea1nh tranh, n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng h\u1ecd s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n \u0111\u1ed5i m\u1edbi n\u1eefa. R\u1ee7i ro l\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty nh\u01b0 GM s\u1ebd ng\u1ed3i y\u00ean v\u00e0 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c ch\u1ebf t\u1ea1o nh\u1eefng chi\u1ebfc xe b\u00e1n t\u1ea3i ng\u1ed1n x\u0103ng c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh. N\u00f3 n\u00ean thi\u00ean v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed9t s\u00e2n ch\u01a1i b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1eb3ng trong khi v\u1eabn m\u1edf c\u1eeda cho c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 Trung Qu\u1ed1c. EU cho \u0111\u1ebfn nay \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n M\u1ef9. Brussels \u0111ang c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng theo c\u00e1c quy \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. Ng\u01b0\u1eddi M\u1ef9 kh\u00f4ng quan t\u00e2m \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n

FAZ:\u00a0Th\u1ebf \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ee7 ch\u01b0a?<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0Ch\u01b0a. \u1ed2n \u00e0o th\u00ec nhi\u1ec1u nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1ebfn nay gi\u1edbi ch\u1ee9c Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1eabn gi\u1eef im l\u1eb7ng v\u00ec cho r\u1eb1ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi ch\u00e2u \u00c2u h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u01b0 ch\u00f3 ki\u1ec3ng c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 trong v\u1ee5 n\u00e0y. EU c\u1ea7n tr\u1edf n\u00ean \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u h\u01a1n, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 trong c\u00e1c l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c m\u00e0 ch\u00fang ta c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m v\u00e0 th\u1ecb ph\u1ea7n xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u m\u1ea1nh, ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 xe \u0111i\u1ec7n v\u00e0 tua-bin gi\u00f3. Trong c\u00e1c l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c kh\u00e1c, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u00edt c\u00f3 \u00fd ngh\u0129a h\u01a1n. V\u00ed d\u1ee5: ch\u00fang ta kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng c\u1ea1nh tranh trong vi\u1ec7c ch\u1ebf t\u1ea1o c\u00e1c t\u1ea5m pin m\u1eb7t tr\u1eddi. Ch\u00fang ta n\u00ean ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn gi\u00e1 r\u1ebb h\u01a1n c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n

\u00a0FAZ:\u00a0\u00d4ng mu\u1ed1n c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 n\u00e0o?<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0T\u00f4i kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 thu\u1ebf quan. Ch\u00fang hung h\u00e3n v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 ph\u1ea3n t\u00e1c d\u1ee5ng. Nh\u01b0ng Brussels ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf v\u00e0 thu\u1ebf quan v\u1eabn l\u00e0 l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn t\u1ed1t nh\u1ea5t. Nh\u01b0ng t\u00f4i c\u0169ng th\u00edch c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u1ee7a Ph\u00e1p trong vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u01b0a ra c\u00e1c \u01b0u \u0111\u00e3i \u0111\u1ec3 mua xe \u0111i\u1ec7n. Trong khi M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c ch\u1ec9 tr\u1ea3 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ea5p n\u1ebfu xe \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t t\u1ea1i n\u01b0\u1edbc h\u1ecd th\u00ec Ph\u00e1p l\u1ea1i r\u00e0ng bu\u1ed9c c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n thanh to\u00e1n n\u00e0y v\u1edbi c\u00e1c y\u00eau c\u1ea7u v\u1ec1 kh\u00ed h\u1eadu. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y l\u00e0 th\u00f4ng minh v\u00ec n\u00f3 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u r\u1ea5t kh\u00f3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau kh\u00ed h\u1eadu n\u00e0y. T\u00f4i c\u0169ng tin r\u1eb1ng ch\u00e2u \u00c2u c\u1ea7n g\u00e1nh th\u00eam n\u1ee3, ngay c\u1ea3 khi \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y g\u00e2y nhi\u1ec1u tranh c\u00e3i \u1edf \u0110\u1ee9c.<\/p>\n

\u00a0FAZ:\u00a0C\u00f3 n\u00ean t\u1eeb b\u1ecf vi\u1ec7c h\u00e3m n\u1ee3 v\u00ec ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c?<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u0110\u00fang. \u0110\u00f3 l\u00e0 v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c duy tr\u00ec s\u1ef1 c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng cung v\u00e0 c\u1ea7u to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. N\u1ebfu Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t qu\u00e1 nhi\u1ec1u v\u00e0 mua qu\u00e1 \u00edt th\u00ec ph\u1ea3i c\u00f3 ai \u0111\u00f3 b\u00f9 \u0111\u1eafp. V\u1ec1 l\u00e2u d\u00e0i, ch\u00fang ta c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u01b0u ti\u00ean chi ti\u00eau, nh\u01b0ng trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n, ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 n\u1ee3 t\u0103ng m\u1edbi c\u00f3 t\u00e1c d\u1ee5ng l\u00e0m t\u0103ng nhu c\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang ta. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y th\u1eadt kh\u00f3 nu\u1ed1t tr\u00f4i, nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh kh\u1ecfi.<\/p>\n

\u00a0FAZ:\u00a0\u0110\u1ee9c c\u00f3 n\u00ean th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i hi\u1ebfn ph\u00e1p v\u00e0 g\u00e1nh th\u00eam n\u1ee3 v\u00ec Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c?<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0Th\u1eadt kh\u00f4ng may, ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u00e0 c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh phi c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p h\u00f3a. Ngay c\u1ea3 khi ch\u00e2u \u00c2u th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i, t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t th\u1eeba \u1ed3 \u1ea1t c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c khi\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ee9c sang c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc th\u1ee9 ba tr\u1edf n\u00ean kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n h\u01a1n. \u0110\u1ee9c ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t n\u1ebfu t\u0103ng nhu c\u1ea7u trong n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0.<\/p>\n

FAZ:\u00a0Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i lu\u00f4n d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean s\u1ef1 c\u00f3 \u0111i c\u00f3 l\u1ea1i. Nhu c\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a ch\u00e2u \u00c2u th\u00ec sao? N\u1ebfu c\u1ee9 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u01b0 v\u1eady th\u00ec ch\u00fang ta s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng g\u1eb7p v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 g\u00ec.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0N\u00f3 \u0111ang ch\u00ecm xu\u1ed1ng r\u1ed3i. T\u00f4i tin r\u1eb1ng c\u00fa s\u1ed1c n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng mang t\u00ednh chu k\u1ef3 m\u00e0 mang t\u00ednh c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac. Xe h\u01a1i v\u00e0 m\u00e1y m\u00f3c l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ee9c. Ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t t\u1ea1i Trung Qu\u1ed1c. Xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ee9c sang Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1ea3m, ngay c\u1ea3 khi m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng. Trong hai \u0111\u1ebfn ba n\u0103m qua, s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u sang Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u1ee9ng v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c \u0110\u1ee9c m\u1ea5t kho\u1ea3ng 0,5% t\u1ed5ng s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m qu\u1ed1c n\u1ed9i. M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ee9c.<\/p>\n

\u00a0FAZ:\u00a0N\u1ebfu EU th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n nh\u1eefng g\u00ec \u00f4ng \u0111\u1ec1 xu\u1ea5t, li\u1ec7u \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 ph\u00e1 h\u1ee7y h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u kh\u00f4ng?<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0Ch\u1eebng n\u00e0o EU c\u00f2n c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p theo quy \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi th\u00ec t\u00f4i kh\u00f4ng tin s\u1ebd c\u00f3 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1. Nh\u01b0ng ch\u00e2u \u00c2u l\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi tham d\u1ef1 l\u1edbn duy nh\u1ea5t v\u1eabn tu\u00e2n th\u1ee7 lu\u1eadt l\u1ec7. R\u1ea5t kh\u00f3 \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u00e0nh chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng khi ch\u01a1i \u0111\u00e1nh ph\u00e9 n\u1ebfu b\u1ea1n l\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi ch\u01a1i duy nh\u1ea5t kh\u00f4ng gian l\u1eadn. Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ec3 ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh g\u1eb7p r\u1ee7i ro.<\/p>\n

FAZ:\u00a0\u00d4ng so s\u00e1nh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf v\u1edbi tr\u00f2 ch\u01a1i b\u00e0i x\u00ec t\u1ed1 m\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t ng\u01b0\u1eddi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1eafng. Th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng, th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i l\u00e0 c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i cho c\u1ea3 hai b\u00ean.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u0110\u00fang, nh\u01b0ng b\u1ea1n c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 nh\u00ecn n\u00f3 theo c\u00e1ch kh\u00e1c: N\u1ebfu nh\u1eefng n\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u00e1c kh\u00f4ng tu\u00e2n theo lu\u1eadt l\u1ec7, ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111ang ch\u01a1i m\u1ed9t tr\u00f2 ch\u01a1i h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng n\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u00e1c \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 v\u00e1n\u00a0b\u00e0i x\u00ec t\u1ed1.<\/p>\n

FAZ:\u00a0Nghe c\u00f3 v\u1ebb gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 \u00f4ng \u0111ang c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng k\u00eau g\u1ecdi m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0T\u1ea5t nhi\u00ean l\u00e0 t\u00f4i kh\u00f4ng mu\u1ed1n \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3. Ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta n\u00ean nh\u00ecn v\u00e0o s\u1ef1 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng n\u00e0y. Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u kh\u00f4ng b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p c\u1ee7a ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c kinh t\u1ebf. \u0110\u1ea7u ti\u00ean l\u00e0 t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c, sau \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 t\u1eeb M\u1ef9. Ch\u00fang ta kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 k\u1ebb g\u00e2y h\u1ea5n trong cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i n\u00e0y, nh\u01b0ng ch\u00fang ta ph\u1ea3i ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng.<\/p>\n

FAZ:\u00a0Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 th\u1ea5p nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c. Ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n tr\u1ee3 c\u1ea5p kh\u00f4ng c\u00f4ng b\u1eb1ng m\u00e0 li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng c\u1ea1nh tranh cao h\u01a1n v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng l\u00e0m vi\u1ec7c. Ch\u1eb3ng ph\u1ea3i vi\u1ec7c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00e0 h\u1ee3p l\u00fd sao?<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u0110\u00f3 l\u00e0 l\u00fd do t\u1ea1i sao ch\u00e2u \u00c2u n\u00ean c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c tr\u1ee3 c\u1ea5p v\u00e0 ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a b\u1ea3o h\u1ed9 \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c. N\u1ebfu ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1eabn t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n, n\u00f3 s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o th\u1ecb ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn. T\u00f4i kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 g\u00ec v\u1edbi \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3. M\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt t\u1ed1t. Kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 g\u00ec ng\u1ea1c nhi\u00ean khi Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 l\u1edbn trong ng\u00e0nh n\u00e0y. S\u1ef1 m\u1ea5t c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4 v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 thi\u1ebfu c\u00f4ng b\u1eb1ng trong th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i l\u00e0m t\u00f4i kh\u00f3 ch\u1ecbu.<\/p>\n

\u00a0Sander Tordoir<\/strong> l\u00e0 nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ea1i Trung t\u00e2m C\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, m\u1ed9t t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c t\u01b0 v\u1ea5n v\u00e0 v\u1eadn \u0111\u1ed9ng h\u00e0nh lang c\u00f3 tr\u1ee5 s\u1edf t\u1ea1i London t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. Theo tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh m\u00ecnh, Tordoir nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 kh\u00e1c, ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh v\u00e0 ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a Khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n chung ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0 vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ee9c trong Li\u00ean minh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. Tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi gia nh\u1eadp think tank, \u00f4ng \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m vi\u1ec7c cho Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u (ECB) v\u00e0 Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, c\u00f9ng nhi\u1ec1u t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c kh\u00e1c. T\u1ea1i ECB, nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf n\u00e0y l\u00e0m vi\u1ec7c v\u1edbi c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c c\u1ee7a EU v\u00e0 t\u01b0 v\u1ea5n cho c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n ECB t\u1ea1i Qu\u1ef9 Ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf \u1edf Washington D.C. Nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf h\u1ecdc n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ecdc t\u1ea1i \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Amsterdam v\u00e0 \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Columbia \u1edf New York. Tordoir s\u1ed1ng \u1edf Berlin.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0Gustav Theile<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0 Ph\u00f3ng vi\u00ean kinh t\u1ebf v\u1ec1 Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u1edf Th\u01b0\u1ee3ng H\u1ea3i.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0Patrick Welter<\/strong><\/a> Bi\u00ean t\u1eadp vi\u00ean kinh t\u1ebf<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0* H\u1ea1n ng\u1ea1ch xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u\u00a0l\u00e0 bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p do c\u01a1 quan nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f3 th\u1ea9m quy\u1ec1n quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ec3 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u ra kh\u1ecfi l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

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